By-Elections Boost For SNP Ahead of Falkirk Council Elections

Cllr David Alexander

With elections to Falkirk Council taking place in May this year the SNP group leader within the council, David Alexander, welcomed figures from the last four and a half years showing that support for the party was continuing to grow.
SNP candidates have been elected in 20 of the 47 local by-elections held since 2007, including two SNP victories in Falkirk district..

In the last 12 months the SNP have won nine local authority by-elections. In contrast Labour have won only three with the Lib Dems on one seat. The Tories have secured only one by-election win in the last four years.

Results from 2007 to 2011 show the SNP vote increasing by five per cent over the four and a half year period and by 10% in 2011 alone.

The SNP has also moved into the leadership of Dundee and Stirling Councils since 2007 and become the lead partner in the administration of Aberdeen City Council.

SNP group leader, David Alexander said,

“With Falkirk Council going back to the polls in May this year to elect our local politicians the SNP is going into the year with a strong record and growing support from the people of Falkirk district.

“Only last month the SNP won the last two all party by-elections before the nationwide vote as voters in the former Labour heartlands of Glasgow and North Lanarkshire chose SNP candidates to be their local representatives.

“And over the last four years increasing numbers of voters have backed the SNP to represent them locally and that bodes well for the removal of the current Labour / Tory Coalition and replace this with a visionary SNP council.

“This year’s local elections are a real chance to bring the same energy, enthusiasm and commitment to serving local people that the SNP is delivering in government to local authorities all across Scotland back to Falkirk where people are put first.

“The SNP has a strong track record that has seen councils ease the burden on local people with a council tax freeze, construct new council houses and keeping charges such as school meal costs down.

 Compare this to the record of the current right wing alliance running Falkirk Council at the present and you can understand why the SNP are looking forward with confidence to May’s poll.

“In the run up to May’s local elections the SNP will be campaigning hard to show people in every community that working together at every level we can deliver local government that will make our communities better and help all of us to take Falkirk district forward.”
Notes:
PRE-2012 COUNCIL BY-ELECTION ANALYSIS

ALL BY-ELECTIONS SINCE 2007

There have been 47 local authority by-elections held in Scotland since the previous local authority elections in 2007 when the SNP became the largest party in local government. Over 160,000 votes have been cast in those by-elections. The results show a substantial increase in the SNP vote and swings from all three opposition parties since the last local authority elections in 2007.

Over the five year period the analysis of the combined vote in by-elections show swings of 3.3% from Labour, 2.7% from the Conservatives and 2.4% from the Liberal Democrats.

The results show that SNP support is up by over 5% since the last Local Authority Elections.

2007 – 2011         Swing to SNP
Votes   %       Change  Seats Won       From Lab        From LD From Tory
SNP     56,114  34.5%   +5.1%   20      3.3%    2.4%    2.7%
Labour  47,282  29.1%   -1.4%   16
Tory    23,281  14.3%   -0.3%   1
LibDem  17,462  10.7%   0.3%    5
Other   18,376  11.3%   -3.7%   5

In terms of 1st preferences the SNP topped the poll in 23 of the 47 by-election contests compared to 17 in those same seats in the May 2007 election.

BY-ELECTIONS IN 2011 SHOW SNP VOTE INCREASING

Local authority by-elections held in 2011 alone show that the SNP vote has increased even more than the previous 4 year period with the swings from opposition parties increasing.

Sixteen local authority by-elections have been held in Scotland in 2011 with nearly 45,000 votes cast. The results show a substantial increase in the SNP vote and significantly larger swings from all three opposition parties since the last local authority elections in 2007.

The analysis of the combined vote in those by-elections – which have taken place in the local authorities of Falkirk, Dumfries & Galloway, twice in Aberdeen, twice in Highland, Argyll & Bute, Edinburgh, Glasgow, North Ayrshire, Perth & Kinross, North Lanarkshire, South Lanarkshire and Shetland – show significant swings of 4.8% from Labour, 5.3% from the Conservatives and 7.7% from the Liberal Democrats.

The results show that SNP support is up by over 10% since the last Local Authority Elections.

2011        Swing to SNP
Votes   %       Change  Seats Won       From Lab        From LD From Tory
SNP     17,112  38.4%   +10.1%  9       4.8%    7.7%    5.3%
Labour  10,459  23.5%   0.6%    3
Tory    6,019   13.5%   -0.6%   0
LibDem  3,626   8.1%    -5.3%   1
Other   7,315   16.4%   -4.9%   3

The SNP have gained four seats and held five. The SNP topped the poll in first preference votes in 12 out of 16 of the by-election contests compared to 7 in those same seats in the May 2007 election.

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